ByBen Kramer-Miller:In this article I discuss the benefits and risks of betting against the American economy and the best ways to do it. In part 1 I provide a general overview of America's economy and demonstrate that, with some exceptions, it is in serious trouble. The American economy runs the risk of entering a severe recession as a result of the following: (1) its reliance on Americans spending borrowed money and over-consuming as opposed to saving and producing real, exportable goods as evidenced by its perpetual negative trade balance (2) artificially low interest rates that have perpetuated Americans' lack of savings and over-borrowing, and (3) an aging demographic that is barely growing. These phenomena, which I discuss in greater detail below, have resulted in negative trade imbalances, over-indebtedness on the part of America's citizens and governments (federal, state, and local), rising prices, and perpetually high unemployment.
In part two I provide
Complete Story »